Dossier #31 // technical exposure assessment

Moderate exposure Estimates vary (±16%)

Training and Development Specialists

Category: Business & financial · SOC 13-1151.00 · Industry: Education

AI Exposure (AI-estimated)

45/100

+1.0 vs last

Moderate exposure

Last updated

3 Oct 2026

19 hours ago · sources: BLS OES (approx) · O*NET

Evidence

1 sources

18 core tasks shown · 2 secondary hidden

Verdict

Training and Development Specialists Moderate exposure: only 6 of 18 core tasks show high task automation potential : exposure 45/100 (moderate exposure).

No model has published evidence mapped to this occupation yet - the score comes from generic task assessment.

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Score breakdown

Why this score?

Every component is stored with the score row and can be recomputed from the evidence table.

AI Exposure (composite)45/100

Methodology 2026-09-a · score v1.0 · input hash 38bd980d6e38b1ce

AI capability exposure74/100

Strength of current models on the capabilities this job's tasks require.

Task automation potential63/100

Task-level exposure, weighted by task importance. A component of the headline, not the headline itself.

Observed AI adoption0/100

Evidence that AI is actually being used for this work.

Labour-market signal0/100

Observed changes in postings, employment or earnings.

Evidence strength35/100

Quantity and source quality of the evidence behind the score.

1 evidence item(s) contribute. Calculated 19 hours ago. 3 Oct 2026 UTC.

Overview

Design or conduct work-related training and development programs to improve individual skills or organizational performance. May analyze organizational training needs or evaluate training effectiveness.

Employment

≈380,000

approx. BLS OES

Median wage

≈$63,000

approx. BLS OES

Tasks tracked

linked to this occupation

Employment and wage values are approximate reference figures from the BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics programme, stored with an approximation flag. Verify against the O*NET record and BLS before quoting them.

Tasks

Task-level automation exposure

All tasks →

Core tasks only. Exposure describes how much of the task output current AI can produce or substantially assist - not whether the task disappears. Secondary shared-baseline edges are hidden until per-occupation curation is complete.

Present information with a variety of instructional techniques or formats, such as role playing, simulations, team exer…30
core task · importance 4.7/5
Obtain, organize, or develop training procedure manuals, guides, or course materials, such as handouts or visual materi…80
core task · importance 4.6/5
Evaluate modes of training delivery, such as in-person or virtual, to optimize training effectiveness, training costs,…35
core task · importance 4.5/5
Monitor, evaluate, or record training activities or program effectiveness.78
core task · importance 4.4/5
Offer specific training programs to help workers maintain or improve job skills.45
core task · importance 4.4/5
Assess training needs through surveys, interviews with employees, focus groups, or consultation with managers, instruct…35
core task · importance 4.4/5
Design, plan, organize, or direct orientation and training programs for employees or customers.35
core task · importance 4.3/5
Develop alternative training methods if expected improvements are not seen.35
core task · importance 4.1/5
Evaluate training materials prepared by instructors, such as outlines, text, or handouts.65
core task · importance 4/5
Monitor training costs and prepare budget reports to justify expenditures.85
core task · importance 3.8/5
Devise programs to develop executive potential among employees in lower-level positions.35
core task · importance 3.8/5
Keep up with developments in area of expertise by reading current journals, books, or magazine articles.70
core task · importance 3.7/5
Attend meetings or seminars to obtain information for use in training programs or to inform management of training prog…30
core task · importance 3.7/5
Coordinate recruitment and placement of training program participants.45
core task · importance 3.6/5
Select and assign instructors to conduct training.30
core task · importance 3.5/5
Negotiate contracts with clients for desired training outcomes, fees, or expenses.20
core task · importance 3.5/5
Supervise, evaluate, or refer instructors to skill development classes.35
core task · importance 3.4/5
Schedule classes based on availability of classrooms, equipment, or instructors.85
core task · importance 3.3/5

Evidence

Evidence trail

1 attributed item(s). Confidence reflects study design: randomised and production deployments score higher than platform observations, which score higher than projections.

task automationincreasesconfidence 68/100 · magnitude 4818 Sept 2025
Task-level usage data shows AI most used for lesson and material preparation and for feedback drafting, with far less usage recorded for live instruction and classroom management.
A good example of capability and adoption diverging inside one occupation: preparation is heavily automated while the defining activity of the job is not.
Source: Anthropic Economic Index — education analysis · Updated 18 Sept 2025

Historical trend

Exposure over time

Backcast series: recomputed at quarterly checkpoints using only the models and evidence published by each date.

Score · 23 points · 2021-01-01 to 2026-07-01

Reconstruction, not measurement. 5 observed daily snapshot(s) exist for this occupation; the earlier part of the curve is derived by applying the current methodology to the model releases and published evidence available at each past date.

Recent events

Signals affecting this occupation

Occupation score change3 Oct 2026 · 04:55
IMPACT 10
training specialist exposure increased 1.0 points
AI Exposure Score moved from a previous calculation to 45/100 under methodology v1.0. 1 evidence item(s) contributed.
Verified signalConfidence:45 · lowVerified by AIKillsWhat
New model14 Jul 2026 · 15:00
IMPACT 45
Introducing Claude for Teachers
Verified US K-12 educators get free access to premium Claude capabilities, a teaching skills library, and standards-aligned curricula for all 50 states.
Frontier releaseConfidence:78 · moderateVerified by AIKillsWhat
AI adoption signal18 Sept 2025 · 00:00
IMPACT 48
Measured AI usage in education is concentrated in preparation and feedback
Task-level usage data shows AI most used for lesson and material preparation and for feedback drafting, with far less usage recorded for live instruction and classroom management.
Enterprise deploymentConfidence:68 · moderateVerified by AIKillsWhat

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faq

Frequently Asked Questions

Common questions regarding Training and Development Specialists and AI exposure.

Will AI replace Training and Development Specialists?

Current AI models show an exposure score of 45/100 for Training and Development Specialists. This measures technical capability to assist or automate specific tasks rather than predicted immediate job loss. Moderate exposure reflects assistance in routine information-handling while core responsibilities require human judgment.

Which tasks in Training and Development Specialists have the highest AI exposure?

The most exposed tasks for Training and Development Specialists include "Monitor training costs and prepare budget reports to justify expenditures." (85% exposure) and "Schedule classes based on availability of classrooms, equipment, or instructors." (85% exposure).

What aspects of Training and Development Specialists can AI not do yet?

Tasks with the lowest AI exposure for Training and Development Specialists include "Negotiate contracts with clients for desired training outcomes, fees, or expenses." (20% exposure) and "Select and assign instructors to conduct training." (30% exposure). These responsibilities typically require physical dexterity, licensed human accountability, or complex interpersonal navigation.

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Notice: All ratings shown are AI-estimated technical exposure scores measuring technical capabilities across O*NET task statements, not predicted job loss. Contains information from O*NET 31.0 by the U.S. Department of Labor, ETA, used under CC BY 4.0.