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Dossier #56 // technical exposure assessment

Moderate exposure

Customs and Border Protection Officers

Category: Protective service · SOC 33-3051.04 · Industry: Government & public sector

AI Exposure (AI-estimated)

37/100
increased by +1.0 vs last

Low exposure

Last updated

3 Oct 2026

19 hours ago · sources: BLS OES (approx) · O*NET

Evidence

0 sources

35 core tasks shown · 6 secondary hidden

Verdict

Customs and Border Protection Officers Moderate exposure: only 1 of 35 core tasks show high task automation potential : exposure 37/100 (low exposure).

No model has published evidence mapped to this occupation yet - the score comes from generic task assessment.

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Score breakdown

Why this score?

Every component is stored with the score row and can be recomputed from the evidence table.

AI Exposure (composite)37/100

Methodology 2026-09-a · score v1.0 · input hash 26acfcb2e0b6a315

AI capability exposure69/100

Strength of current models on the capabilities this job's tasks require.

Task automation potential54/100

Task-level exposure, weighted by task importance. A component of the headline, not the headline itself.

Observed AI adoption0/100

Evidence that AI is actually being used for this work.

Labour-market signal0/100

Observed changes in postings, employment or earnings.

Evidence strength0/100

Quantity and source quality of the evidence behind the score.

0 evidence item(s) contribute. Calculated 19 hours ago. 3 Oct 2026 UTC.

Overview

Investigate and inspect persons, common carriers, goods, and merchandise, arriving in or departing from the United States or between states to detect violations of immigration and customs laws and regulations.

Employment

≈800,000

approx. BLS OES

Median wage

≈$74,000

approx. BLS OES

Tasks tracked

41

linked to this occupation

Employment and wage values are approximate reference figures from the BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics programme, stored with an approximation flag. Verify against the O*NET record and BLS before quoting them.

Tasks

Task-level automation exposure

Core tasks only. Exposure describes how much of the task output current AI can produce or substantially assist - not whether the task disappears. Secondary shared-baseline edges are hidden until per-occupation curation is complete.

Evidence

Evidence trail

0 attributed item(s). Confidence reflects study design: randomised and production deployments score higher than platform observations, which score higher than projections.

No occupation-specific evidence has been mapped yet. This occupation is scored from generic task assessment only - a genuinely weaker basis, and the reason its score is marked low-confidence.

Historical trend

Exposure over time

Backcast series: recomputed at quarterly checkpoints using only the models and evidence published by each date.

Customs and Border Protection Officers AI exposure backcast, quarterly from 2021Reconstructed exposure series with 23 checkpoints. Current value 37 out of 100. 5 observed snapshots recorded since tracking began.1000502021-01-012026-07-010317
Score · 23 points · 2021-01-01 to 2026-07-01

Reconstruction, not measurement. 5 observed daily snapshot(s) exist for this occupation; the earlier part of the curve is derived by applying the current methodology to the model releases and published evidence available at each past date.

Recent events

Signals affecting this occupation

  1. Occupation score change
    IMPACT 10

    police officer exposure increased 1.0 points

    AI Exposure Score moved from a previous calculation to 37/100 under methodology v1.0. 0 evidence item(s) contributed.

    Verified signalConfidence:40 · lowVerified by AIKillsWhat

Related

Related Occupations

Occupations sharing major SOC group (33) with Customs and Border Protection Officers.

faq

Frequently Asked Questions

Common questions regarding Customs and Border Protection Officers and AI exposure.

Will AI replace Customs and Border Protection Officers?

Current AI models show an exposure score of 37/100 for Customs and Border Protection Officers. This measures technical capability to assist or automate specific tasks rather than predicted immediate job loss. Low exposure indicates significant physical, clinical, or relational tasks that current AI cannot autonomously execute.

Which tasks in Customs and Border Protection Officers have the highest AI exposure?

The most exposed tasks for Customs and Border Protection Officers include "Provide road information to assist motorists." (70% exposure) and "Record facts to prepare reports that document incidents and activities." (35% exposure).

What aspects of Customs and Border Protection Officers can AI not do yet?

Tasks with the lowest AI exposure for Customs and Border Protection Officers include "Place people in protective custody." (0% exposure) and "Collect samples of merchandise for examination, appraisal, or testing." (5% exposure). These responsibilities typically require physical dexterity, licensed human accountability, or complex interpersonal navigation.

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Notice: All ratings shown are AI-estimated technical exposure scores measuring technical capabilities across O*NET task statements, not predicted job loss. Contains information from O*NET 31.0 by the U.S. Department of Labor, ETA, used under CC BY 4.0.