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A/KAI Kills What?

Dossier #50 // technical exposure assessment

Moderate exposure Estimates vary (±14%)

Chefs and Head Cooks

Category: Food preparation · SOC 35-1011.00 · Industry: Hospitality

AI Exposure (AI-estimated)

35/100
0.0

Low exposure

Last updated

3 Oct 2026

19 hours ago · sources: BLS OES (approx) · O*NET

Evidence

0 sources

21 core tasks shown

Verdict

Chefs and Head Cooks Moderate exposure: only 3 of 21 core tasks show high task automation potential : exposure 35/100 (low exposure).

No model has published evidence mapped to this occupation yet - the score comes from generic task assessment.

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Score breakdown

Why this score?

Every component is stored with the score row and can be recomputed from the evidence table.

AI Exposure (composite)35/100

Methodology 2026-09-a · score v1.0 · input hash 71e3aaf1ad8e495f

AI capability exposure64/100

Strength of current models on the capabilities this job's tasks require.

Task automation potential53/100

Task-level exposure, weighted by task importance. A component of the headline, not the headline itself.

Observed AI adoption0/100

Evidence that AI is actually being used for this work.

Labour-market signal0/100

Observed changes in postings, employment or earnings.

Evidence strength0/100

Quantity and source quality of the evidence behind the score.

0 evidence item(s) contribute. Calculated 19 hours ago. 3 Oct 2026 UTC.

Overview

Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

Employment

≈2,500,000

approx. BLS OES

Median wage

≈$36,000

approx. BLS OES

Tasks tracked

21

linked to this occupation

Employment and wage values are approximate reference figures from the BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics programme, stored with an approximation flag. Verify against the O*NET record and BLS before quoting them.

Tasks

Task-level automation exposure

Core tasks only. Exposure describes how much of the task output current AI can produce or substantially assist - not whether the task disappears. Secondary shared-baseline edges are hidden until per-occupation curation is complete.

Evidence

Evidence trail

0 attributed item(s). Confidence reflects study design: randomised and production deployments score higher than platform observations, which score higher than projections.

No occupation-specific evidence has been mapped yet. This occupation is scored from generic task assessment only - a genuinely weaker basis, and the reason its score is marked low-confidence.

Historical trend

Exposure over time

Backcast series: recomputed at quarterly checkpoints using only the models and evidence published by each date.

Chefs and Head Cooks AI exposure backcast, quarterly from 2021Reconstructed exposure series with 23 checkpoints. Current value 35 out of 100. 5 observed snapshots recorded since tracking began.1000502021-01-012026-07-0101217
Score · 23 points · 2021-01-01 to 2026-07-01

Reconstruction, not measurement. 5 observed daily snapshot(s) exist for this occupation; the earlier part of the curve is derived by applying the current methodology to the model releases and published evidence available at each past date.

Recent events

Signals affecting this occupation

No events match this filter yet. New verified events appear here as analysis completes.

Related

Related Occupations

Occupations sharing major SOC group (35) with Chefs and Head Cooks.

faq

Frequently Asked Questions

Common questions regarding Chefs and Head Cooks and AI exposure.

Will AI replace Chefs and Head Cooks?

Current AI models show an exposure score of 35/100 for Chefs and Head Cooks. This measures technical capability to assist or automate specific tasks rather than predicted immediate job loss. Low exposure indicates significant physical, clinical, or relational tasks that current AI cannot autonomously execute.

Which tasks in Chefs and Head Cooks have the highest AI exposure?

The most exposed tasks for Chefs and Head Cooks include "Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs." (85% exposure) and "Record production or operational data on specified forms." (75% exposure).

What aspects of Chefs and Head Cooks can AI not do yet?

Tasks with the lowest AI exposure for Chefs and Head Cooks include "Demonstrate new cooking techniques or equipment to staff." (5% exposure) and "Check the quantity and quality of received products." (5% exposure). These responsibilities typically require physical dexterity, licensed human accountability, or complex interpersonal navigation.

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Notice: All ratings shown are AI-estimated technical exposure scores measuring technical capabilities across O*NET task statements, not predicted job loss. Contains information from O*NET 31.0 by the U.S. Department of Labor, ETA, used under CC BY 4.0.