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A/KAI Kills What?

Dossier #17 // technical exposure assessment

Very High exposure Estimates vary (±17%)

Telemarketers

Category: Office & administrative support · SOC 41-9041.00 · Industry: Retail & customer service

AI Exposure (AI-estimated)

67/100
0.0

High exposure

Last updated

3 Oct 2026

19 hours ago · sources: BLS OES (approx) · O*NET

Evidence

2 sources

8 core tasks shown · 4 secondary hidden

Verdict

Telemarketers Very High exposure: 6 of 8 core tasks show high task automation potential : exposure 67/100 (high exposure).

1 model with published evidence against this job. Strongest: GPT-4o (92/100 capability).

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Score breakdown

Why this score?

Every component is stored with the score row and can be recomputed from the evidence table.

AI Exposure (composite)67/100

Methodology 2026-09-a · score v1.0 · input hash 6df5e4d4827b2db0

AI capability exposure76/100

Strength of current models on the capabilities this job's tasks require.

Task automation potential79/100

Task-level exposure, weighted by task importance. A component of the headline, not the headline itself.

Observed AI adoption76/100

Evidence that AI is actually being used for this work.

Labour-market signal0/100

Observed changes in postings, employment or earnings.

Evidence strength52/100

Quantity and source quality of the evidence behind the score.

2 evidence item(s) contribute. Calculated 19 hours ago. 3 Oct 2026 UTC.

Overview

Solicit donations or orders for goods or services over the telephone.

Employment

≈90,000

approx. BLS OES

Median wage

≈$39,000

approx. BLS OES

Tasks tracked

12

linked to this occupation

Employment and wage values are approximate reference figures from the BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics programme, stored with an approximation flag. Verify against the O*NET record and BLS before quoting them.

Tasks

Task-level automation exposure

Core tasks only. Exposure describes how much of the task output current AI can produce or substantially assist - not whether the task disappears. Secondary shared-baseline edges are hidden until per-occupation curation is complete.

Killers

Which models affect this job most

Ranked by strongest demonstrated capability. Task and evidence counts come from the attributed evidence trail below.

  1. 01
    GPT-4o92/100

    OpenAI · 1 evidence item

Evidence

Evidence trail

2 attributed item(s). Confidence reflects study design: randomised and production deployments score higher than platform observations, which score higher than projections.

  1. adoptionincreasesconfidence 95/100 · magnitude 761 Feb 2025

    In a randomised controlled trial with about 5,000 customer support agents, access to a generative AI assistant increased issues resolved per hour by about 14% on average, with gains of roughly 34% for the least experienced workers and negligible effects for the most experienced.

    The strongest causal evidence available on AI in service work. Note carefully what it does and does not show: it measures output per agent, not headcount. Because it compresses the experience gap, it can reduce demand for senior specialists while raising productivity of new hires.

    Source: Brynjolfsson, Li & Raymond — Generative AI at Work (Quarterly Journal of Economics) · Updated 1 Feb 2025

  2. model releaseincreasesconfidence 90/100 · magnitude 6213 May 2024

    GPT-4o added a single model handling text, audio and image, enabling sub-second conversational voice — the capability precondition for substituting routine telephone work.

    Capability event, not an adoption or labour-market event. It raises the capability component for voice-heavy tasks only.

    Source: OpenAI · Updated 13 May 2024

Historical trend

Exposure over time

Backcast series: recomputed at quarterly checkpoints using only the models and evidence published by each date.

Telemarketers AI exposure backcast, quarterly from 2021Reconstructed exposure series with 23 checkpoints. Current value 67 out of 100. 5 observed snapshots recorded since tracking began.1000502021-01-012026-07-010040
Score · 23 points · 2021-01-01 to 2026-07-01

Reconstruction, not measurement. 5 observed daily snapshot(s) exist for this occupation; the earlier part of the curve is derived by applying the current methodology to the model releases and published evidence available at each past date.

Recent events

Signals affecting this occupation

  1. AI adoption signal
    IMPACT 76

    AI assistant raised support-agent productivity 14%, with the largest gains for novices

    In a randomised controlled trial with about 5,000 customer support agents, access to a generative AI assistant increased issues resolved per hour by about 14% on average, with gains of roughly 34% for the least experienced workers and negligible effects for the most experienced.

    Enterprise deploymentConfidence:95 · highVerified by AIKillsWhat
  2. New model
    IMPACT 62

    GPT-4o introduced real-time speech-to-speech conversation

    GPT-4o added a single model handling text, audio and image, enabling sub-second conversational voice — the capability precondition for substituting routine telephone work.

    Frontier releaseConfidence:90 · highVerified by AIKillsWhat
  3. Research published
    IMPACT 20

    Zoom partnership and investment in Anthropic

    Zoom will integrate Claude into its Contact Center portfolio, and Zoom Ventures invests in Anthropic.

    Labor researchConfidence:50 · lowVerified by AIKillsWhat

Related

Related Occupations

Occupations sharing major SOC group (41) with Telemarketers.

faq

Frequently Asked Questions

Common questions regarding Telemarketers and AI exposure.

Will AI replace Telemarketers?

Current AI models show an exposure score of 67/100 for Telemarketers. This measures technical capability to assist or automate specific tasks rather than predicted immediate job loss. High exposure indicates strong overlap between current LLM/multimodal capabilities and routine tasks in this occupation.

Which tasks in Telemarketers have the highest AI exposure?

The most exposed tasks for Telemarketers include "Maintain records of contacts, accounts, and orders." (85% exposure) and "Record names, addresses, purchases, and reactions of prospects contacted." (85% exposure).

What aspects of Telemarketers can AI not do yet?

Tasks with the lowest AI exposure for Telemarketers include "Contact businesses or private individuals by telephone to solicit sales for goods or services, or to request donations…" (30% exposure) and "Obtain customer information such as name, address, and payment method, and enter orders into computers." (35% exposure). These responsibilities typically require physical dexterity, licensed human accountability, or complex interpersonal navigation.

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Notice: All ratings shown are AI-estimated technical exposure scores measuring technical capabilities across O*NET task statements, not predicted job loss. Contains information from O*NET 31.0 by the U.S. Department of Labor, ETA, used under CC BY 4.0.